Tropical Storm Gabrielle has shown slow signs of improved organization after floundering in the central Atlantic over the past few days. The National Hurricane Center forecasts that it could strengthen into the Atlantic's second hurricane of the season on Sunday.
The United States won't see any direct impacts from Gabrielle. Bermuda residents should keep an eye on the storm, which is set to pass around 140 nautical miles east of the archipelago on Sunday night and Monday.
Bermuda will start to see swells created by Gabrielle on Friday night, which will build over the weekend. These swells are expected to bring life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
the center of Tropical Storm Gabrielle was located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 55.6 West. Gabrielle is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Saturday.
A gradual turn towards the north-northwestward is expected by Saturday night, followed by a northward motion by Sunday night. On the forecast track, the center of Gabrielle is expected to pass east of Bermuda Sunday night and Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast, and Gabrielle is expected to become a hurricane by Sunday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Swells generated by Tropical Storm Gabrielle are expected to reach Bermuda tonight and built through the weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
The NHC's next Tropical Storm Gabrielle advisory will happen at 5 p.m. CT.
Tropical Storm Gabrielle has slowly shown improved organization since Thursday, but not enough to increase the storm's intensity. Sustained wind speeds have remained steady around 50 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Wind shear has curbed the storm's development over the past few days, and will continue to do so for the next 36 hours before it starts to wane. Gabrielle is forecast to see gradual strengthening afterward. The NHC estimates that we could see Hurricane Gabrielle by Sunday.
A large area of high pressure will steer Gabrielle westward as it moves north toward Bermuda. Most spaghetti models are in agreement that Gabrielle will pass east of Bermuda around Sunday night and Monday.
Tropical Storm Gabrielle is not currently expected to directly impact Florida. Current models show the storm's path turning north and eventually hooking around onto a northeastward path near Bermuda.
Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.
The Atlantic hurricane season will end on Nov. 30, 2025.
No. The National Hurricane Center is predicting no tropical cyclone activity will occur over the next seven days.