A new artificial intelligence model developed at MIT, called VaxSeer, promises to substantially improve the accuracy of flu vaccine predictions, possibly leading to more effective seasonal immunizations.The technology analyzes viral data to anticipate which strains will be dominant, addressing a long-standing challenge in public health.
Predicting which influenza strains will circulate each season is notoriously challenging. The influenza virus mutates rapidly, and the dominant strains can vary significantly across geographic regions. Traditional methods rely on surveillance data from the Southern Hemisphere during its flu season, which is than used to inform vaccine development for the Northern Hemisphere. This process is frequently enough slow and imperfect, leading to vaccines that don't always match the circulating strains[[[[CDC - Vaccine Effectiveness ].
The effectiveness of flu vaccines typically ranges from 40% to 60%, according to the Centers for Disease Control and prevention (CDC). A mismatch between the vaccine and circulating strains is a primary reason for lower effectiveness.