I'm I missing something? I might as well just put my stocks into something else or in the Europe an stock market? Or just focus on individual stocks. Trump is sure not good for my retirement.

Thoughts?

Snip:

What is the S & P 500 expected to be at by the end of 2025?

As of May 29, 2025, Wall Street analysts have varying projections for where the S&P 500 will finish the year, influenced by factors like corporate earnings, interest rate expectations, and trade policies. The general sentiment is cautiously optimistic, but there's a range of predictions.

Here's a summary of recent forecasts:

Median Forecast: A Reuters poll conducted in late May 2025 indicated a median year-end target of 5,900, a decrease from their February poll which showed a median of 6,500.

UBS: Recently increased their year-end 2025 target to 6,000, up from 5,800, citing strong first-quarter earnings and higher GDP growth expectations.

Oppenheimer: Revised their forecast downward from 7,100 to 5,950 due to trade tensions.

Yardeni Research: Cut their target from 7,000 to 6,400, then again to 6,000.

Goldman Sachs: Revised their estimate down from 6,500 to 6,200, and then to 5,700. However, another report from November 2024 states a target of 6,500 with an expected 9% price gain.

RBC Capital Markets: Lowered their estimate from 6,600 to 5,500.

Barclays: Reduced their target from 6,600 to 5,900.

Factors influencing forecasts:

Earnings growth: Analysts predict S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) growth to accelerate in 2025, supporting a positive outlook.

Valuation concerns: The forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is high compared to historical averages, raising concerns about potential overvaluation.

Economic indicators: Data suggests a more optimistic economic picture despite deteriorating sentiment.

Trade policies: Recent easing of trade tensions has contributed to market optimism, though new tariffs could introduce uncertainty.

Monetary policy: Potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are seen as supportive of the market.

In summary, the expected year-end S&P 500 level is currently a subject of varied opinions, with a median forecast of 5,900, but some analysts maintaining higher targets while others have lowered theirs due to potential headwinds. Investors should consider these forecasts alongside the potential risks and uncertainties in the market when making investment decisions.