With the impending weather forecast, the Permian Basin can now expect heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding ahead of the Labor Day weekend. After evaluating the National Weather Service, their forecast shows that rainfall will accumulate from mid regions to up to 2 inches in the northern regions. Rainfall will peak on Saturday and Sunday with the potential of reaching 2 inches in some places.
The weekend is expected to be a long 3-day weekend for some; however, for the rest of the population, the outdoor activities and the thunderstorms, along with some lightning, will surely provide the rest and reset they need. Although, along with the drop in temperatures, the mid-90s and low 80s temperatures will negatively impact some pre-planned weekend plans.
Hazards Of Heavy Rain and Flash Flooding
From the forecast, the Permian Basin will receive the greatest amounts of precipitation after late Saturday and through to Wednesday. In the Midlands, NWS forecaster Chris Stickney indicated precipitation will persist from Sunday and will begin to taper from Wednesday morning. While most areas in the region will receive between 0.5 and 1.5 inches of precipitation, those traveling north from Midland-Odessa to Lubbock and the Panhandle areas should prepare for over 1-2 inches of rainfall.
Over half an inch of rainfall is likely in the regions around the southern borders of 1-20 and 1-10. While these areas receive less rainfall, most mountainous regions could receive higher amounts. Though these areas will receive rainfall over 24 hours, there is a chance that a few areas could receive rainfall in higher bursts, but this is more likely to occur in small regions.
While Stickney forecasts thunderstorms with low intensity, low damaging winds, the greatest concern for travelers and residents will be the risk of flash flooding that is likely to disrupt the roadways. Because the rain is expected to be locally focused, motorists should be aware of the possibility of road closures and significant delays.
Drastic Temperature Drop Expected
Alongside the rainfall, the Permian Basin's temperatures will also experience a significant drop heading into the weekend. Currently forecasted for a high of 95°F on Saturday, by Sunday the high will drop to 82°F. This would provide a much more comfortable atmosphere. This region will also see a welcome reprieve from the sweltering heat, with mid-80s highs slated for both Sunday and Monday.
The weekend outdoor activities will also be impacted by the sharp drop in temperatures. Many events like hiking, barbecues, or even scenic drives will have to be prepared for the cooler temperatures in conjunction with the rain. Regardless, this cooling trend is likely to be appreciated by many outdoor enthusiasts.
Your Guide for Labor Day Monday Activities
Over the weekend, weather conditions are expected to improve. The National Weather Service forecasts persistent showers and possibly even thunderstorms on Sunday. The chance of rain on Sunday is 60%. However, by Monday, the chance of rain decreases to 30% from 7 am to 1 pm. This will allow both residents and travelers to enjoy the day outdoors while the rain holds off.
Those planning to head out for the weekend's final day will have to contend with the forecasted high for the day of 86°F. While the chance of rain does decrease, travelers should note that rain that came earlier may leave behind wet or even slippery roads.
Plan for Flash Flood Warnings
Given the weather's unpredictable habits, especially regarding the forecast of flash floods, those planning on traveling in the Permian Basin area over this Labor Day weekend will want to keep an eye out for up-to-date forecasts. Stickney advised residents and guests to anticipate rainfall as the total may fluctuate broadly across the surrounding area.
Travelers are advised to exercise caution when navigating through flood-prone regions. Active flash flood warnings are also areas where travel should be avoided. If intending to hike or partake in outdoor activities, bringing proper rain gear and preparing for possible temperature changes could result in a smoother and more enjoyable experience.
Effects on Local Activities and Travel Arrangements
Although outdoor activities are diminished with heavy rain and flash flooding, the holiday weekend still offers a myriad of activities to partake in. Indoor events like family gatherings, concerts, and exhibits also serve as great substitutes. For tourists, indoor sites like cultural centers and art galleries remain open regardless of the weather.
For those still wishing to participate in outdoor activities, hiking trails, and roads must be verified as safe for travel. Numerous popular routes in the Permian Basin could become more difficult to access due to water runoff, so monitoring road conditions before heading out on drives or excursions is a must.
Looking Ahead: Shifts in Weather Patterns
For some, this upcoming Labor Day weekend brings a mix of warmer and cooler temperatures, but for others, it's a reminder of the upcoming fall season. Permian basin residents and visitors are sure to enjoy the area's mixture of milder temperatures and a decline in storm frequency around this time of the year.
While Labor Day is viewed as the unofficial end to summer, it also marks the beginning of the shoulder periods in the calendar year. Weather experts expect that the Permian basin region will face less storm activity and cooler temperatures in fall and winter; however, summer-like conditions will likely remain for a while longer.
Conclusion:
This year, Labor Day marks the end of the summer break, allowing people to enjoy the rest of the calendar year. This much-awaited break from the heat will be accompanied by a mix of showers through the weekend, so travelers are advised to plan accordingly.
Although the weather may lead to some disruptions, the drop in temperatures and the overall shift in conditions are likely to be appreciated. Whether you decide to participate in indoor activities or venture outside in the rain, the holiday weekend provides opportunities to experience the beauty of the Permian Basin.