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Canadian investors cast their eyes southward in March, upping their stake in US bonds and stocks while pulling back from non-US foreign debts and domestic securities.
What does this mean?
In March, Canadians snapped up $15.6 billion in foreign securities, mostly in US bonds and government money market instruments, shedding $1.8 billion from other foreign debts. They reined in foreign equity investments to $7.0 billion from February's $27.8 billion, with $5.0 billion funneled into US stocks. Meanwhile, foreign investors cut Canadian securities by $4.2 billion, including a notable $12.0 billion reduction in Canadian shares affecting the banking, energy, and mining sectors. Inflows into Canadian bonds hit $11.9 billion, mainly federal bonds, while outflows were seen from federal government enterprises. The 1.9% dip in the S&P/TSX composite index in March reflected these shifts, compounded by the Bank of Canada's rate cut to 2.75%, nudging the loonie up by 0.4% against the US dollar.
Canadian investors' focus on US securities highlights a shift spurred by US market stability, offering potentially safer returns amidst Canadian volatility. The S&P/TSX composite's 1.9% decline underscores the allure of US assets. With Canadians diversifying abroad, it could suggest more tempered growth prospects for local markets.
The bigger picture: Global monetary ripples.
This rising Canadian interest in US assets unfolds against a backdrop of worldwide economic realignments. The Bank of Canada's rate cut and the appreciating loonie mirror broader monetary shifts aimed at reining in inflation and stabilizing growth. These dynamics are influencing investment strategies, with cross-border flows being a key part of Canada's economic playbook in a post-pandemic era.