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Will we see Tropical Storm Gabrielle this week? What to know as peak of hurricane season arrives

By Gainesville Sun

Will we see Tropical Storm Gabrielle this week? What to know as peak of hurricane season arrives

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Find out the history of Labor Day hurricanes.

* A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is expected to become a tropical depression later this week or over the weekend.

* AccuWeather forecasters said there is a chance the system will develop into Tropical Storm Gabrielle before the weekend.

* The busiest period of the Atlantic hurricane season runs from mid-August through mid-October, with the peak hitting Sept. 10.

The peak of hurricane season is days away as the National Hurricane Center monitors a tropical wave with an increasing chance of becoming a tropical depression later this week or over the weekend.

AccuWeather forecasters said there is a chance the system will develop into Tropical Storm Gabrielle before the weekend.

The busiest period of the Atlantic hurricane season runs from mid-August through mid-October, with the peak hitting Sept. 10.

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Dry air and dust in the atmosphere over the Atlantic have been helping prevent tropical development since Erin and Fernand dissipated in August.

AccuWeather forecasters also warn to keep a close eye on the Gulf. Very warm waters mean anything that moves into the area could rapidly strengthen.

The next named storms of the Atlantic hurricane season will be Gabrielle and Humberto.

➤ What does history tell us about Florida and September hurricanes? Will you be surprised?

In the eastern Pacific, Hurricane Kiko is expected to strengthen and could be near Category 3 strength with 110-mph winds over the next 48 hours. It could pass near the Hawaiian Islands next week.

Tropical Depression 12-E, which formed near Mexico late Sept. 1, could impact the southwestern U.S. over the weekend. It's expected to strengthen into a tropical storm -- Lorena -- later today.

Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of  2 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 2.

What tropical waves, disturbances are in Atlantic basin now? Will we see Tropical Storm Gabrielle?

* Eastern tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic southwest of the Cabo Verde islands and continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions remain conducive for gradual development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend. This system is expected to initially move slowly westward and then gradually accelerate westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic into early next week.

More tropical waves:

* A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic along 52W, from 05N to 19N, moving westward at 11 to 17 mph. The wave is embedded in a dry Saharan airmass that is suppressing the development of showers and thunderstorms near the wave axis.

* A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean along 86W, south of 19N, moving westward at 6 to 11 mph. There is no significant convection associated with this wave at this time.

What do the colored, hatched areas on the NOAA map mean?

The hatched areas on the National Hurricane Center's tropical outlook map indicate "areas where a tropical cyclone -- which could be a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane -- could develop," said National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome.

The colors make it visibly clear how likely a system could develop, with yellow being low, orange medium, and red high.

The National Hurricane Center generally doesn't issue tropical advisories until there is a named storm, but there is an exception.

"If a system is near land and there is potential for development, the National Hurricane Center won't wait before it issues advisories, even if the system hasn't become an actual storm. This gives residents time to prepare," Rhome said.

Who is likely to be impacted by the tropical waves out there?

It's too early at this time to determine if there will be any impact to Florida or the U.S. from the tropical waves.

➤ Excessive rainfall forecast

Forecasters urge all residents to keep an eye on the tropics and to always be prepared.

Florida weather radar for Sept. 2, 2025

Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida

When is the Atlantic hurricane season?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said.

The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories.

When is the peak of hurricane season?

The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

Hurricane names for 2025 season

Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them. The first hurricane of the season typically forms Aug. 11.

* (June 20)

* (June 29)

* (July 5)

* : (Aug. 3)

* : (Aug. 11; hurricane Aug. 15; major hurricane Aug. 16)

* : (Aug. 23)

* Gabrielle: ga-bree-ELL

* Humberto: oom-BAIR-toh

* Imelda: ee-MEHL-dah

* Jerry: JEHR-ee

* Karen: KAIR-ren

* Lorenzo: loh-REN-zoh

* Melissa: meh-LIH-suh

* Nestor: NES-tor

* Olga: OAL-guh

* Pablo: PAHB-lo

* Rebekah: reh-BEH-kuh

* Sebastien: se-BAS-tee-en

* Tanya: TAHN-yuh

* Van: van

* Wendy: WEN-dee

National Hurricane Center map: See what forecasters watching now

Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:

Why does NHC say 'tropical cyclone' on its maps instead of hurricane or tropical storm?

Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the tropical Atlantic basin.

To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA sadi.

Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated:

* Hurricane: for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific.

* Typhoon: for storms in the Northwest Pacific.

* Cyclone: for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean.

Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that have passed near your city

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This story has been updated to include new information.

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