For much of the past decade, Pakistan's economic story has been one of turbulence -- mounting external debt, dwindling foreign reserves, balance-of-payment crises, and a looming risk of default. Yet, in a significant departure from this narrative, Pakistan has repaid its $500 million Eurobond on schedule, signaling not just a routine financial transaction but a broader shift toward fiscal discipline, economic stability, and renewed investor confidence.
The Eurobond, issued in 2015 with a 10-year maturity, was due on September 30, 2025. Despite years of financial strain and fears of default as recently as 2023, Pakistan met this obligation without delay. Adviser to the Finance Minister Khurram Schehzad rightly described the repayment as "business as usual," highlighting that timely debt servicing reflects the government's commitment to fiscal responsibility. But beneath that simple phrase lies a deeper story of economic transformation and resilience.
Pakistan's repayment is not just about clearing a financial liability; it reflects a broader improvement in the country's macroeconomic fundamentals. According to Schehzad, the debt-to-GDP ratio has improved significantly -- from 77% in FY2020 to 70% in FY2025. Similarly, the share of external debt in total public debt has declined from 38% to 32%, reducing foreign exchange vulnerability and shielding the economy from external shocks. These improvements, though incremental, indicate a more disciplined fiscal approach and a conscious effort to reduce dependence on foreign borrowing.
Debt growth has also moderated sharply compared to previous years, reflecting a more sustainable borrowing strategy. This shift matters because unsustainable debt accumulation has historically been one of Pakistan's biggest vulnerabilities, leaving the country exposed to global financial volatility and external pressures.
Investor sentiment -- once fragile and uncertain -- is beginning to recover. Pakistan's sovereign bonds are now trading at a premium, a clear sign of renewed confidence in the country's creditworthiness. This turnaround has been supported by improved sovereign ratings from leading global agencies such as Fitch, Moody's, and S&P Global, which upgraded Pakistan's outlook in 2025. These upgrades are not just symbolic; they directly influence the country's ability to borrow at lower costs and attract foreign investment. Moreover, easing global borrowing costs and Pakistan's stronger fundamentals position it to re-enter international capital markets on more competitive terms. This is a far cry from the precarious situation in 2022-23, when talk of default dominated headlines and market confidence was at its lowest ebb.
Pakistan's current economic trajectory is all the more remarkable when viewed against the backdrop of the severe crisis it faced just two years ago. In 2023, foreign exchange reserves had plummeted to critically low levels, barely enough to cover a few weeks of imports. The balance-of-payment crisis had deepened, and default risk loomed large. It was only through a crucial IMF bailout package -- supported by friendly nations such as China, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE -- that Pakistan was able to stabilize its finances and avert a catastrophic default.
But averting disaster was only the beginning. What followed was a series of tough structural reforms, many prescribed by the IMF, aimed at restoring macroeconomic stability. Subsidies were rationalized, tax collection was strengthened, monetary policy was tightened, and energy sector reforms were initiated. These steps were politically costly but economically essential, laying the groundwork for the stability Pakistan is now beginning to experience.
The timely Eurobond repayment is thus more than a one-off event -- it is a symbol of Pakistan's evolving fiscal maturity. It signals to the world that the country is capable of meeting its obligations, even in challenging circumstances. More importantly, it sends a message to domestic stakeholders that economic stability is achievable through discipline, reform, and perseverance. At the same time, global economic conditions -- including easing borrowing costs -- offer an opportunity for Pakistan to refinance debt on more favorable terms and restructure its debt profile. If managed prudently, this can create fiscal space for greater investment in infrastructure, education, and social protection -- the real drivers of inclusive development.
Pakistan's successful Eurobond repayment is not the end of its economic challenges, but it is a milestone worth noting. It reflects not just a commitment to fiscal responsibility but a broader shift in mindset -- from crisis management to long-term planning. It also restores some measure of credibility in the eyes of global investors, proving that Pakistan can and will meet its obligations. The journey from the brink of default to renewed confidence has not been easy, but it demonstrates what is possible when fiscal discipline, structural reforms, and international cooperation align. Now, the challenge is to sustain this trajectory -- to ensure that repayment of debt today is accompanied by investment in growth tomorrow.